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算法预测比特币的价格& # 8211开发商投资50天的两倍

来源:admin 发布日期2018-09-18

A team at MIT has developed a prediction algorithm that allows them to determine when the price of the infamous volatile cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, will drop or rise。 Using this method, the researchers managed to double their initial investment in 50 days, all through an automated process that involved more than 2,800 transactions。

Money forecast

bitcoin

An algorithm developed at MIT can predict how Bitcoin will fair in the future。 Image: Bitcoin

Since the last year or so, Bitcoin ha****ploded on the market sitting today at nearly ten times the price it was valued only 2 years ago。 Many early investors who believed in the currency and locked their investment have now become wealthy, yet because there are few places you can actually use Bitcoins, the currency is mostly regarded as a commodity。 As such, most investors put money into Bitcoin to speculate and earn returns。 This behavior has significant consequences on the currency’;s trading patterns, with prices fluctuating heavily on a day to day basis。 With this in mind, is it possible to predict future returns for Bitcoin trading? A researcher at MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory and the Laboratory for Information and Decision Systems recently developed a machine-learning algorithm that does just this。

Can history predict where the money will flow?

Devavrat Shah and recent graduate Kang Zhang, both at MIT, collected  price data from all major Bitcoin exchanges, every second for five months, accumulating more than 200 million data points。 This step was critical –; the researchers needed as many points as possible for their historical analysis to make better predictions。 They then a technique called  “Bayesian regression,” to basically train the algorithm to automatically identify patterns from the data, which they used to predict prices, and trade accordingly。 Thus, their automated setup predicted the price of Bitcoin every two seconds for the following ten seconds。 If the price movement was higher than a certain threshold, they bought a Bitcoin; if it was lower than the opposite threshold, they sold one; and if it was in-between, they did nothing。

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